E63012578 /South East evidence profile

South East evidence profile

Caterham digital planning profile

Caterham is a medium, non-coastal built-up area in South East. ONS records show a 2021 population of 22,757; the population expanded quickly between 2001 and 2021, while the 2015 to 2024 employment series shows a material employment contraction. This profile turns those public observations into a reviewable website-planning brief without claiming that the figures measure searches, leads or Mosalio's physical presence.

Medium BUA24ResidentialONS data / no demand claim

01 / Data snapshot

What the reviewed source records

2021 population22,75718.7% since 2001
Employment change-12.5%2015 to 2024
Economic inactivity34.5%published ONS proportion
2023 median house price£447,698205.1% since 2001
Town classificationResidentialMedium built-up area
Relative accessNearerto a major town or city
BUA24 code
E63012578
ITL1 region
South East
Coastal
Non-coastal
Income-deprivation flag
Lower deprivation

02 / Context

Three comparisons, with the benchmark stated

Population change+18.7%

7.5% above the 11.2% median across complete England records in this ONS file.

Employment change-12.5%

12.5% below the 0% dataset median.

House-price growth+205.1%

19% below the 224.1% dataset median.

These medians use every complete England record accepted from the same ONS file. They are descriptive context, not targets, forecasts or a national demand model.

03 / Distinctive pattern

Where this record sits within 936 complete England profiles

2023 median house price£447,698

Highest decile · percentile position 91 of 100.

Employment change, 2015 to 2024-12.5%

Lower quartile · percentile position 12.6 of 100.

Economic inactivity34.5%

Lower quartile · percentile position 15.2 of 100.

These are the three values furthest from the middle percentile position for this record. A higher position means a higher published value, not a better outcome or evidence of search demand.

Evidence fingerprint: sha256:50ae9b0ee2f…129b0345ab38

04 / Constrained peers

Three named comparisons from the same reviewed source

Each peer is selected from all 936complete England records using the documented eight-metric distance. Deltas are Caterham minus the named peer; a plus sign means the value recorded for Caterham is higher.

Regional peer

Chesham · E63011668

South East. Nearest complete record in South East. ONS classification: Nearer - Medium deprivation - Residential.

2021 population
-934 people
Population change, 2001 to 2021
+4.1 pp
Economic inactivity
-0.9 pp
Employment change, 2015 to 2024
0 pp
2023 median house price
+£21,698
House-price growth, 2001 to 2023
-10.5 pp
Population aged under 25
+0.2 pp
Population aged 65 or over
-0.1 pp

Classification peer

Rawdon · E63007823

Yorkshire and The Humber. Nearest complete record outside South East with the same ONS combined classification. ONS classification: Nearer - Lower deprivation - Residential.

2021 population
+15,742 people
Population change, 2001 to 2021
+2.4 pp
Economic inactivity
+1.9 pp
Employment change, 2015 to 2024
-12.5 pp
2023 median house price
+£124,198
House-price growth, 2001 to 2023
-3 pp
Population aged under 25
+1.6 pp
Population aged 65 or over
-1.1 pp

National peer

Ashford (Spelthorne) · E63012197

South East. Nearest remaining complete England record. ONS classification: Nearer - Lower deprivation - Residential.

2021 population
-414 people
Population change, 2001 to 2021
+3.7 pp
Economic inactivity
+0.4 pp
Employment change, 2015 to 2024
+4.2 pp
2023 median house price
+£12,698
House-price growth, 2001 to 2023
+11.6 pp
Population aged under 25
+1.6 pp
Population aged 65 or over
-0.1 pp

05 / Evidence synthesis

Caterham evidence synthesis: 2023 median house price, Employment change, 2015 to 2024, Economic inactivity

Caterham is recorded as a medium, non-coastal, residential built-up area, nearer to a major town or city. This classification sets a transparent frame for the three observations below; it is not a persona, a service-area promise or proof of local search demand. Each finding pairs one distinctive percentile measure with one independently selected peer and one explicit validation route.

Eight-metric evidence matrix

2021 population22,757Middle half · percentile 60.1 · higher published valueRegional peer Chesham: -934 people (lower) · Classification peer Rawdon: +15,742 people (higher) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): -414 people (lower)
Population change, 2001 to 202118.7%Upper quartile · percentile 75.1 · higher published valueRegional peer Chesham: +4.1 pp (higher) · Classification peer Rawdon: +2.4 pp (higher) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): +3.7 pp (higher)
Economic inactivity34.5%Lower quartile · percentile 15.2 · lower published valueRegional peer Chesham: -0.9 pp (lower) · Classification peer Rawdon: +1.9 pp (higher) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): +0.4 pp (higher)
Employment change, 2015 to 2024-12.5%Lower quartile · percentile 12.6 · lower published valueRegional peer Chesham: 0 pp (level) · Classification peer Rawdon: -12.5 pp (lower) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): +4.2 pp (higher)
2023 median house price£447,698Highest decile · percentile 91 · higher published valueRegional peer Chesham: +£21,698 (higher) · Classification peer Rawdon: +£124,198 (higher) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): +£12,698 (higher)
House-price growth, 2001 to 2023205.1%Middle half · percentile 33.3 · lower published valueRegional peer Chesham: -10.5 pp (lower) · Classification peer Rawdon: -3 pp (lower) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): +11.6 pp (higher)
Population aged under 2529.6%Upper quartile · percentile 76.9 · higher published valueRegional peer Chesham: +0.2 pp (higher) · Classification peer Rawdon: +1.6 pp (higher) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): +1.6 pp (higher)
Population aged 65 or over17.6%Middle half · percentile 25.7 · lower published valueRegional peer Chesham: -0.1 pp (lower) · Classification peer Rawdon: -1.1 pp (lower) · National peer Ashford (Spelthorne): -0.1 pp (lower)

The matrix shows every measure used by the peer-distance method, not only the three most distinctive values. Direction describes the published value relative to the middle percentile position; it is not a positive or negative judgement.

Highest-to-lowest percentile order: 2023 median house price → Population aged under 25 → Population change, 2001 to 2021 → 2021 population → House-price growth, 2001 to 2023 → Population aged 65 or over → Economic inactivity → Employment change, 2015 to 2024.

Furthest-to-nearest distance from the middle percentile: 2023 median house price → Employment change, 2015 to 2024 → Economic inactivity → Population aged under 25 → Population change, 2001 to 2021 → Population aged 65 or over → House-price growth, 2001 to 2023 → 2021 population.

Regional peer

2023 median house price: £447,698 · Chesham delta +£21,698

Caterham's 2023 median house price is £447,698, a highest decile result at percentile 91 among 936 complete England records. Chesham, the named regional peer from South East, differs by +£21,698 when the calculation is Caterham minus peer. Nearest complete record in South East. Use the contrast to prioritise research into pricing clarity, qualification steps and expectation setting. A decision should wait for comprehension tests using the organisation's real offer and fees. The responsible interpretation stops short of intent: a median house price is not a household affordability measure.

Classification peer

Employment change, 2015 to 2024: -12.5% · Rawdon delta -12.5 pp

Among the eight reviewed measures, employment change, 2015 to 2024 stands out for Caterham at -12.5%; its percentile position is 12.6 and its band is lower quartile. The same-source classification check uses Rawdon, classified as Nearer - Lower deprivation - Residential. The Caterham-minus-Rawdon delta on this metric is -12.5 pp. For planning, document the observation beside the separation of employer, worker and customer journeys and require journey interviews plus measured form and contact outcomes before treating the idea as an accepted requirement. It must not be over-read, because employment change does not prove commercial search intent.

National peer

Economic inactivity: 34.5% · Ashford (Spelthorne) delta +0.4 pp

The reviewed record positions Caterham at percentile 15.2 for economic inactivity; its published value is 34.5% and its band is lower quartile. For a bounded comparison rather than a national average, Ashford (Spelthorne) supplies the national reference; Caterham is +0.4 pp from it on the displayed scale. This evidence can narrow a discovery question around assisted, accessible and non-digital completion routes, while accessibility testing across real tasks and support-channel evidence supplies the user-level check the aggregate data cannot provide. Keep the inference narrow: an aggregate inactivity rate cannot describe an individual visitor.

The distinctive metrics are not interchangeable: 2023 median house price, employment change, 2015 to 2024, economic inactivity each raise a different planning question when read beside Chesham, Rawdon, Ashford (Spelthorne). For Caterham, the safe next step is therefore three small verification tasks rather than one demographic persona, locality claim or generic area-page conclusion.

06 / Evidence interpretation

Planning signals before design decisions

Population context: 22,757 people in 2021

Caterham's recorded population changed from 19,169 in 2001 to 22,757 in 2021 (+18.7%). This historical direction can inform content governance and capacity planning, but it is not a forecast and does not establish demand for a particular service.

Audience context: 17.6% aged 65 or over

The 2021 age-group series records 4,710 people aged 0 to 15, 2,019 aged 16 to 24, 12,027 aged 25 to 64 and 4,001 aged 65 or over. Small differences from the headline population reflect the published source series; percentages here use the age-group total and should guide testing questions, not stereotypes.

Activity context: 34.5% economically inactive

ONS records economic inactivity at 34.5%. The published composition includes 20.4% retired, 3.3% long-term sick or disabled, 4.2% students and 4% looking after home or family. These categories support inclusive task design; they do not identify individual users or purchasing intent.

Economic context: £447,698 median house price in 2023

The median house-price series moved from £146,750 in 2001 to £425,500 in 2021 and £447,698 in 2023, a published change of +205.1%. It is contextual evidence only—not a current affordability, revenue or customer-value estimate.

07 / Independent question set

Questions this evidence cannot answer on its own

These questions convert the profile-specific observations into falsifiable discovery work. They are not recommendations to create a service, location or page, and each needs direct user or behavioural evidence before it changes a website brief.

  1. 01

    Where should the team record uncertainty when using Caterham's 2023 median house price value and the Chesham comparison to discuss pricing clarity, qualification steps and expectation setting?

    Evidence basis: £447,698, highest decile, with Caterham minus the regional peer equal to +£21,698. Validation route: comprehension tests using the organisation's real offer and fees.

  2. 02

    How should a prototype test the separation of employer, worker and customer journeys without assuming that Caterham's percentile 12.6 position predicts an individual user's needs?

    This question is traceable to employment change, 2015 to 2024 at percentile 12.6 and a -12.5 pp profile-minus-peer difference, not to inferred local behaviour.

  3. 03

    Where should the team record uncertainty when using Caterham's economic inactivity value and the Ashford (Spelthorne) comparison to discuss assisted, accessible and non-digital completion routes?

    The prompt combines one distinctive metric with the named national comparator selected by the eight-metric method. It does not treat either record as search, lead or customer evidence.

  4. 04

    For Caterham's medium, non-coastal, residential built-up area, nearer to a major town or city classification, how should 2023 median house price, employment change, 2015 to 2024, economic inactivity be tested as separate website hypotheses without turning the combined pattern into a claim about local demand?

    Cross-check all three named comparisons—Chesham, Rawdon, Ashford (Spelthorne)—and define a user-research or behavioural measure for each question before changing navigation, page scope or conversion paths. The observations share one source but do not demonstrate causation.

08 / Practical brief

Website-planning recommendations for this evidence pattern

  1. 01

    Make service boundaries explicit

    Caterham is classified as residential. Explain delivery areas, remote or on-site conditions, response times and exclusions in visible copy. This reduces ambiguity for residents without inventing a local office or multiplying near-identical neighbourhood pages.

  2. 02

    Differentiate from the nearby major centre

    Caterham is nearer to a major town or city. Use specific offer boundaries, proof and response expectations to explain why the organisation is relevant; do not rely on a place-name heading or create a doorway that simply redirects users to a national service page.

  3. 03

    Build a broad, task-led accessibility baseline

    52.8% of the recorded 2021 age-group total is aged 25 to 64, with meaningful younger and older groups also present. Organise content by task, test keyboard and mobile use, and avoid designing around one assumed demographic persona.

  4. 04

    Prepare the content model for change

    Caterham recorded +18.7% population change from 2001 to 2021 and -12.5% employment change from 2015 to 2024. Use owned templates, update dates, accountable content roles and measurable conversion events so the site can evolve without publishing unreviewed route permutations.

09 / Method and limits

What this profile can—and cannot—support

This is a Mosalio editorial interpretation of the ONS May 2026 dataset for BUA24 code E63012578. The source periods differ by metric; values are historical, not live. The profile deliberately excludes ONS experimental visitor-to-resident fields and makes no claim about search volume, rankings, customers, a Mosalio office or physical delivery in Caterham.

Mosalio does not claim an office, staff member, customer, or physical-delivery presence in Caterham.

Source: Office for National Statistics, Understanding towns in England and Wales, investigating socioeconomic trends, released . This Mosalio interpretation was first published on and last reviewed on .

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

How this page was made: Mosalio applies one documented, deterministic transform to the validated ONS record, calculates the displayed comparisons, and renders the result from source-controlled data. It is an automated public-data resource, not individually commissioned local market research. A portfolio-level editorial-value review checks every profile's source identity, distinctive metrics, peer evidence, synthesis and planning questions before index eligibility can be enabled.

Analysis basis: Midrank percentile across all accepted England records; a higher percentile means a higher published value, not a better outcome. Root-mean-square Euclidean distance across eight clipped robust z-scores; population and 2023 house price are log-transformed before median/MAD scaling.

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